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RFS Advance Access published online on August 25, 2004
Review of Financial Studies, doi:10.1093/rfs/hhi007
Review of Financial Studies © The Society for Financial Studies 2004; all rights reserved
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Original Articles

Short-Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance

Nicolas P. B. Bollen 1 Jeffrey A. Busse 2*
1 Vanderbilt University
2 Emory University

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: Jeff_Busse{at}bus.emory.edu.


  Abstract

We estimate parameters of standard stock selection and market timing models using daily mutual fund returns and quarterly measurement periods. We then rank funds quarterly by abnormal return, and measure the performance of each decile the following quarter. The average abnormal return of the top decile in the post-ranking quarter is 39 basis points. The post-ranking abnormal return disappears when funds are evaluated over longer periods. These results suggest that superior performance is a short-lived phenomenon that is observable only when funds are evaluated several times a year.


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